- Too much talk about green shoots, sees mostly yellow weeds
- Still sees data showing contraction rather than expansion
- For next year and a half deflationary pressures will be dominant
- Massive output gap: Demand falling relative to excess supply/demand
- Prices will be cut to sell inventories
- CPI still negative in US and across the world
- Labor market is a major slack, unemployment will reach 11% in US
- Slack in goods and labor markets = deflationary pressures
- Sees inflation problem in 2 years due to Fed monetization of debt
- Thinks oil and gold are overpriced
Tuesday, June 16, 2009
Roubini Sees Deflationary Pressures, Unemployment at 11% and Output Gap
Dr. Roubini at the Reuters Investment Outlook Summit was interviewed at by Dan Burns. Here is the video and a few points he made, he thinks the $GOLD run is premature.
blog comments powered by Disqus






