Monday, September 7, 2009

Santelli vs. Pento on Gold, Charts: CRB, Gold, Dollar, 30Y Treasury

On September 3, Michael Pento of Delta Global Advisors and Rick Santelli argued about the price of gold going forward on CNBC. Gold broke out recently and is now fighting the $1,000 resistance level.
Pento: Gold will hit $1200 by the end of the year, mentions ISM prices paid component surge, China PMI, real interest rates plummeting, commodities in CRB index rising which is 40% CPI.

Santelli
: Next big move in gold will be a sell off, sees recent gold move as a technical break out, short covering, 3 day charts on dollar, gold and bonds tell a different story, dollar did nothing.

There are definitely input cost pressures globally which I'll touch on next but Rick Santelli makes an interesting point about intermarket relationships. I provided a performance comparison between Gold, the CRB Index (commodities), US Dollar and the 30 Year Treasury Bond from August 13th. Over that time period CRB lost 6.63%, US Dollar lost 0.31%, 30 Year Treasuries gained 1.82% and Gold gained 4.14%. Interesting.... *Updated chart, didn't include gold performance.





CRB, US Dollar, Gold, 30Y Treasury Comparison (Stockcharts.com)




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