"In recent weeks, the U.S. stock market has been characterized by an overvalued, overbought, overbullish, rising-yields syndrome that has historically been hostile to stocks. Last week, the situation became much more pointed. Past instances have been associated with such uniformly negative outcomes that the current situation has to be accompanied by the word "warning."
"The following set of conditions is one way to capture the basic "overvalued, overbought, overbullish, rising-yields" syndrome:
1) S&P 500 more than 8% above its 52 week (exponential) average
2) S&P 500 more than 50% above its 4-year low
3) Shiller P/E greater than 18
4) 10-year Treasury yield higher than 6 months earlier
5) Advisory bullishness > 47%, with bearishness < 27% (Investor's Intelligence)"
Continue Reading: http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc101213.htm
Hussman On The Overvalued, Overbought, Rising-Yields Syndrome
12/13/2010 03:40:00 AM | via @Dvolatility |
From John Hussman's most recent Weekly Market Comment titled "Warning - An Updated Who's Who of Awful Times to Invest" (HussmanFunds.com). I agree, the market is overvalued.