FYI: Illinois Has a Higher Default Probability Than Spain (CMA's CPD %)

Using CMA Datavision's cumulative probability of default percentage, Illinois has a higher default probability than Spain (37.46% vs. 36.27%). On CMA's highest default probabilities list, Illinois is ranked #9 and Spain #10. Don't ask how they came up with the calculation. Spain's 5Y credit default swap mid spread is at 519.88 and Illinois 5Y CDS is at 221.05. Look at the chart of Spain CDS at

source: CMA Datavision


  1. where did you find that data?

  2. it is here but you have to register for free. I'm not sure why the site is down right now. 


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